Zpet na zapasy Sobota, Dub 18, 2026

Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies — Dub 18, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
67°F, Partly Cloudy
13 mph, Out To RF
W Chris Sale L Cristopher Sánchez SV Robert Suarez

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Braves 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 10 0
Phillies 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Braves 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 1 0 7
Phillies 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4
Confidence: 78% Braves favored
This matchup presents a compelling contrast between Atlanta's league-leading offense and Philadelphia's struggling lineup. Chris Sale brings veteran savvy despite concerning velocity drops (88.4 mph average in his last start), while Cristopher Sanchez has emerged as Philadelphia's lone reliable starter with a 2.02 ERA and exceptional 12.49 K/9 rate. The Braves' +44 run differential speaks to their offensive depth, led by Matt Olson's .293 average and 5 home runs, while Mauricio Dubon has provided unexpected production with a .333 average and 12 RBIs. Philadelphia's offensive struggles are well-documented, averaging just 4.0 runs per game with a team-worst -25 run differential. Brandon Marsh's emergence (2 HR, 11 RBI) provides hope, but the supporting cast has been inconsistent. Trea Turner's .260 average represents a significant drop from expectations, and the team's 3-7 record in their last ten games reflects broader systematic issues. The recent 9-0 shellacking by these same Braves exposed Philadelphia's current limitations. The pitching matchup favors Atlanta despite Sale's declining stuff. His 3.27 ERA and ability to limit walks (2.45 BB/9) give him an edge over Sanchez, whose 1.39 WHIP suggests some luck in his early-season success. Atlanta's bullpen depth, even with multiple injuries, provides a clear late-game advantage over Philadelphia's thin relief corps. The Braves' road record (4-3) isn't dominant, but their offensive firepower should overwhelm a Phillies pitching staff missing Zack Wheeler to shoulder surgery. Citizens Bank Park's hitter-friendly dimensions could benefit both offenses, but Atlanta's superior lineup depth makes them the primary beneficiary. The 62-degree temperature and mostly clear skies create ideal conditions for offense, potentially inflating the total beyond expectations.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 3R Sale allows early run, Phillies respond with Marsh RBI
Middle (4-6) 4R Olson and Dubon power Braves surge, Phillies counter briefly
Late (7-9) 4R Braves bullpen advantage extends lead in 7th-8th

Matchup Analysis

Phillies

Sanchez striking out 12+ per 9
Brandon Marsh power surge
Citizens Bank Park dimensions
Worst run differential in division (-25)
Bullpen depth concerns
Offensive inconsistency beyond Marsh

Braves

Best run differential in NL East (+44)
Sale's veteran experience
Matt Olson's power production
Sale's declining velocity
Missing Sean Murphy behind plate
Road record slightly below home

Risk Factors

Sale's inconsistent velocity readings
Phillies desperation factor at home

Key Matchups

Matt Olson vs Cristopher Sanchez batter Olson's .293 average vs lefty sinkerball
Brandon Marsh vs Chris Sale batter Marsh's power vs Sale's diminished stuff
Trea Turner vs Chris Sale pitcher Sale's slider historically dominates righties

Statistical Edges

First to Score Braves 65%
Strikeouts 16 14-19
Total Runs 11 9-13

Game Preview

Chris Sale takes the mound at Citizens Bank Park with diminished velocity but intact guile, facing a desperate Phillies offense that managed just 72 runs through 18 games. The veteran lefty struggles early, allowing Trea Turner to reach on a leadoff single before Brandon Marsh drives him home with a double to the gap in right-center. Atlanta responds immediately in the second when Matt Olson crushes Cristopher Sanchez's sinker over the left field wall, his sixth homer of the young season. The game's complexion shifts in the third inning as Atlanta's offensive depth surfaces. Mauricio Dubon singles to start the frame, and after Sale helps his own cause with a sacrifice bunt, consecutive RBI hits from the bottom of the order give Atlanta a 3-1 advantage. Sanchez's command wavers as his pitch count climbs, and the Braves capitalize with two more runs in the fifth on Olson's second RBI of the night. Philadelphia mounts brief resistance in the fourth and sixth innings, manufacturing runs through small-ball tactics that Marsh orchestrates with his surprising power display. However, Atlanta's bullpen advantage becomes decisive in the seventh and eighth innings. The Braves tack on insurance runs against Philadelphia's overworked relief corps, turning a competitive game into a comfortable victory that extends their division lead and drops the Phillies further below .500.
High confidence based on Atlanta's superior run differential (+44 vs -25), offensive depth led by Olson and Dubon, and bullpen advantage despite both teams dealing with injuries. The Phillies' recent 9-0 loss to this same Braves team demonstrates the current gap between these clubs.
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Atlanta Braves — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Ronald Acuña Jr.
RF .24715.347.370
Drake Baldwin
DH .318519.375.523
Ozzie Albies
2B .28049.333.451
Matt Olson
1B .296515.394.605
Austin Riley
3B .250314.326.413
Mauricio Dubón
SS .315214.359.479
Eli White
LF .15802.190.211
Jonah Heim
C .21702.308.304
Michael Harris II
CF .25838.300.409

Philadelphia Phillies — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Trea Turner
SS .25927.310.383
Kyle Schwarber
DH .211612.364.507
Bryce Harper
1B .270411.357.527
Adolis García
RF .21425.309.357
Rafael Marchán
C .04312.083.174
Alec Bohm
3B .145110.211.203
Felix Reyes
LF .33311.3331.333
Edmundo Sosa
2B .25015.300.429
Dylan Moore
CF .00000.200.000

Skórovací akce

2
Felix Reyes homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.
0-1
3
Austin Riley singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Cristopher Sánchez. Drake Baldwin scores. Ozzie Albies to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd.
1-1
3
Mauricio Dubón singles on a fly ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Ozzie Albies scores. Matt Olson scores. Austin Riley to 2nd.
3-1

Atlanta Braves — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
4010110.247.717
Drake BaldwinDH
5110010.318.898
Ozzie Albies2B
4120100.280.784
Matt Olson1B
4110110.296.999
Austin Riley3B
5021020.250.739
Mauricio DubónSS
4012020.315.838
Eli WhiteLF
4000010.158.401
Jonah HeimC
4020020.217.612
Michael Harris IICF
0000100.258.709
Celkem3731034120
BATTING
2B: Albies (2, Sánchez, C); Heim (2, Sánchez, C); Olson (10, Alvarado).
TB: Acuña Jr.; Albies 3; Baldwin, D; Dubón; Heim 3; Olson 2; Riley, A 2.
RBI: Dubón 2 (14); Riley, A (14).
2-out RBI: Dubón 2; Riley, A.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: White, E; Acuña Jr.; Olson; Riley, A; Heim; Baldwin, D 2.
Team RISP: 2-for-9.
Team LOB: 11.
BASERUNNING
CS: Albies (2, 2nd base by Keller, B/Marchán).
PO: Albies (1st base by Keller, B).
FIELDING
DP: (Mateo-Olson).

Philadelphia Phillies — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Trea TurnerSS
4010000.259.693
Kyle SchwarberDH
4010010.211.871
Bryce Harper1B
4000030.270.884
Adolis GarcíaRF
3000110.214.666
Rafael MarchánC
2000010.043.257
Alec Bohm3B
3010000.145.414
Felix ReyesLF
3111011.3331.666
Edmundo Sosa2B
3010010.250.729
Dylan MooreCF
1000010.000.200
Celkem311511101
BATTING
HR: Reyes, F (1, 2nd inning off Sale, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Bohm; Reyes, F 4; Schwarber; Sosa, E; Turner.
RBI: Reyes, F (1).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Realmuto.
GIDP: Marsh.
Team RISP: 0-for-2.
Team LOB: 4.
BASERUNNING
SB: Turner (2, 2nd base off Sale/Heim).
FIELDING
E: Sosa, E (2, fielding).
Pickoffs: Keller, B (Albies at 1st base).
a-Struck out for Marsh in the 8th.

Atlanta Braves — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Chris Sale(W, 4-1)
7.0511171101-732.79
Dylan Lee(H, 3)
1.000001015-121.00
Robert Suarez(S, 1)
1.000002014-91.04

Philadelphia Phillies — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Cristopher Sánchez(L, 2-2)
6.083018093-591.59
José Alvarado
1.010001014-119.00
Tanner Banks
1.010022029-174.15
Brad Keller
1.000011021-114.15

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: James Hoye; First Base: D.J. Reyburn; Second Base: Dillon Wilson; Third Base: John Libka
Stadion: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Počasí: 67°F, Partly Cloudy
Vítr: 13 mph, Out To RF

Atlanta Braves — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Braves
STAT
Phillies
48-30 Bilance 43-36
61.5% Win % 54.4%
.615 PCT .544
383 Ziskane body 344
288 Inkasovane body 346
78 Odehrane zapasy 79
L3 Série W1
3-7 Posledních 10 6-4
24-14 Bilance doma 23-19
24-16 Bilance venku 20-17

Vzajemne zapasy

4
Poslednich 5 setkani
1
Dub 26
Phillies 2 - 6 Braves
Dub 25
Phillies 8 - 5 Braves
Dub 24
Phillies 3 - 5 Braves
Dub 19
Braves 4 - 2 Phillies
Dub 17
Braves 9 - 0 Phillies

Braves Nedavne

Čen 23 @ Padres 6-7 L
Čen 22 @ Padres 0-1 L
Čen 21 vs Brewers 9-4 L
Čen 20 vs Brewers 3-4 W
Čen 19 vs Brewers 2-3 W

Phillies Nedavne

Čen 23 @ Nationals 14-9 W
Čen 22 @ Nationals 1-4 L
Čen 21 vs Mets 2-6 W
Čen 20 vs Mets 3-15 W
Čen 18 vs Mets 6-4 L

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