Zpet na zapasy Pondeli, Kvě 25, 2026

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates — Kvě 25, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

PNC Park, Pittsburgh
73°F, Cloudy
5 mph, Out To CF
W Wilber Dotel L Trent Thornton SV Gregory Soto

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Cubs 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 6 2
Pirates 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 - 2 8 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Cubs 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2
Pirates 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 5
Confidence: 72% Pirates favored
This matchup presents a classic struggling offense versus elite pitching scenario, with Ben Brown's sparkling 2.10 ERA leading a Cubs team desperately seeking to break an 8-game losing streak. Brown has been dominant with his four-pitch mix led by a 96.5 mph fastball and devastating knuckle curve, but faces a Pirates lineup that's shown more offensive consistency than Chicago's scuffling attack. The Cubs have managed just 15 runs during their losing streak, while Pittsburgh's offense has been more reliable with contributors like Nick Gonzales (.315) and power threats Oneil Cruz (10 HR) and Brandon Lowe (13 HR). Carmen Mlodzinski counters for Pittsburgh with a 3.96 ERA and concerning 1.40 WHIP, making him vulnerable to a Cubs lineup featuring hot hitters like Michael Conforto (.302) and Seiya Suzuki (.286). The Pirates hold a slight edge playing at home where they're 13-13, compared to Chicago's struggling 11-13 road mark. Key injuries impact both sides, with Pittsburgh missing Joey Bart and Ryan O'Hearn while Chicago's rotation has been decimated by injuries to Justin Steele and others. The Cubs' desperation factor cannot be ignored - teams on extended losing streaks often break out unexpectedly - but their offensive struggles have been too consistent to ignore. Brown will likely keep them in the game through the middle innings, but Pittsburgh's superior offensive depth and home field advantage should prove decisive. The Pirates' recent win over Toronto provides positive momentum, while Chicago's continued slide suggests deeper systemic issues that won't be resolved in a single afternoon game at PNC Park.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 1R Brown's elite stuff limits early damage
Middle (4-6) 4R Pirates break through against Cubs bullpen
Late (7-9) 2R Cubs push late but fall short

Matchup Analysis

Pirates

Ben Brown's high ERA vs quality Pirates lineup
Home field advantage at PNC Park
Nick Gonzales leading at .315 average
Mlodzinski's 1.40 WHIP vulnerability
Bullpen depth concerns with IL players

Cubs

Ben Brown's elite 2.10 ERA
Michael Conforto hitting .302
Solid pitching depth despite injuries
Catastrophic 8-game losing streak
Offensive struggles with only 2 runs in last 10
Road record of 11-13

Risk Factors

Pirates bullpen depth with key injuries
Cubs desperation factor during 8-game skid

Key Matchups

Oneil Cruz vs Ben Brown batter Cruz's power vs Brown's fastball
Michael Conforto vs Carmen Mlodzinski batter Hot hitter vs inconsistent starter
Brandon Lowe vs Ben Brown pitcher Brown's elite command vs power threat

Statistical Edges

First to Score Pirates 65%
Strikeouts 16 14-18
Total Runs 7 5-9

Game Preview

Ben Brown takes the mound for Chicago with the weight of an 8-game losing streak on his shoulders, but his electric stuff should keep the Pirates quiet early. The young right-hander will cruise through the first inning with his fastball-knuckle curve combination, while Carmen Mlodzinski struggles with his command in the opening frame but escapes unscathed. The Pirates break through first in the second inning when Nick Gonzales drives in a run with a clutch two-out single, capitalizing on Mlodzinski's improved control and the Cubs' defensive positioning. Brown responds by settling into a groove, using his four-pitch arsenal to retire nine consecutive Pirates batters through the fourth inning. However, the Cubs managed to tie it in the third when Michael Conforto doubles and scores on a Nico Hoerner groundout. The game's turning point comes in the fourth inning when Pittsburgh breaks Brown's rhythm. Brandon Lowe ambushes a first-pitch fastball for a solo homer, then Oneil Cruz follows two batters later with an RBI double that chases Brown from the game. The Cubs' beleaguered bullpen, already taxed from recent losses, allows another run in the sixth on Spencer Horwitz's sacrifice fly. Chicago shows fight in the seventh with a solo homer from Carson Kelly, but their comeback attempt stalls against Pittsburgh's middle relief. The Pirates add an insurance run in the ninth when Bryan Reynolds drives home Cruz with a clutch single, sealing a much-needed victory that snaps their opponents' skid while ending their own brief slide.
The confidence level reflects Pittsburgh's home field advantage and more reliable offensive production against a Cubs team in freefall with an 8-game losing streak. While Ben Brown's elite 2.10 ERA provides strong pitching, Chicago's offensive struggles and road woes (11-13) tip the scales toward the Pirates.
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Chicago Cubs — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CF .223623.311.363
Ian Happ
LF .2111020.348.422
Michael Busch
1B .230630.358.393
Alex Bregman
3B .255416.340.349
Michael Conforto
RF .268311.369.507
Nico Hoerner
PH .254431.340.373
Seiya Suzuki
PH .240717.337.411
Carson Kelly
PH .294217.378.389
Dansby Swanson
SS .186727.285.343

Pittsburgh Pirates — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Spencer Horwitz
1B .282523.389.443
Brandon Lowe
2B .2651333.354.551
Bryan Reynolds
RF .251432.377.377
Nick Gonzales
3B .301021.358.347
Oneil Cruz
CF .2551134.318.454
Marcell Ozuna
DH .184520.273.307
Konnor Griffin
SS .262320.321.384
Jhostynxon Garcia
LF .25001.286.250
Henry Davis
C .144410.246.288

Skórovací akce

3
Brandon Lowe doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Spencer Horwitz scores.
0-1
5
Michael Busch homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.
1-1
7
Henry Davis homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.
1-2

Chicago Cubs — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
4000000.223.674
Ian HappLF
3000110.211.770
Michael Busch1B
4111011.230.751
Alex Bregman3B
4020010.255.689
Michael ConfortoRF
4000010.268.876
Nico HoernerPH
1000000.254.713
Seiya SuzukiPH
1000010.240.748
Carson KellyPH
1000000.294.767
Dansby SwansonSS
3000010.186.628
Celkem32161371
BATTING
HR: Busch (6, 5th inning off Mlodzinski, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Ballesteros 2; Bregman 2; Busch 4; Ramírez.
RBI: Busch (30).
2-out RBI: Busch.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Conforto; Swanson 2.
Team RISP: 0-for-2.
Team LOB: 7.
BASERUNNING
CS: Bregman (1, 2nd base by Mlodzinski/Davis, H).
FIELDING
E: Brown, Be (1, pickoff); Ramírez (1, fielding).
DP: (Swanson-Ramírez-Busch).
a-Grounded out for Ramírez in the 9th.
b-Struck out for Ballesteros in the 9th.
c-Grounded out for Amaya in the 9th.

Pittsburgh Pirates — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Spencer Horwitz1B
3120100.282.832
Brandon Lowe2B
4021010.265.905
Bryan ReynoldsRF
4010010.251.754
Nick Gonzales3B
4000010.301.705
Oneil CruzCF
4020000.255.772
Marcell OzunaDH
4000030.184.580
Konnor GriffinSS
3000110.262.705
Jhostynxon GarciaLF
3000010.250.536
Henry DavisC
3111011.144.534
Celkem32282291
BATTING
2B: Lowe, B (12, Brown, Be).
HR: Davis, H (4, 7th inning off Thornton, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Cruz, O 2; Davis, H 4; Horwitz 2; Lowe, B 3; Reynolds, B.
RBI: Davis, H (10); Lowe, B (33).
2-out RBI: Davis, H.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Gonzales, N; Griffin.
GIDP: Garcia, Jh.
Team RISP: 0-for-6.
Team LOB: 8.

Chicago Cubs — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Ben Brown
6.041127083-582.01
Trent Thornton(L, 2-1)
1.021100121-152.79
Jacob Webb
1.020002023-162.78

Pittsburgh Pirates — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Carmen Mlodzinski
5.051132186-503.76
Wilber Dotel(W, 1-0)
3.010004041-281.69
Gregory Soto(S, 6)
1.000001014-82.13

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Mark Ripperger; First Base: Shane Livensparger; Second Base: Dan Merzel; Third Base: Dan Bellino
Stadion: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Počasí: 73°F, Cloudy
Vítr: 5 mph, Out To CF

Chicago Cubs — Zpravy

Pittsburgh Pirates — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Cubs
STAT
Pirates
32-29 Bilance 33-28
52.5% Win % 54.1%
.525 PCT .541
285 Ziskane body 311
267 Inkasovane body 276
61 Odehrane zapasy 61
L2 Série W4
3-7 Posledních 10 7-3
18-12 Bilance doma 18-15
14-17 Bilance venku 15-13

Vzajemne zapasy

2
Poslednich 3 setkani
1
Kvě 28
Cubs 7 - 2 Pirates
Kvě 27
Cubs 10 - 4 Pirates
Kvě 26
Cubs 1 - 12 Pirates

Cubs Nedavne

Čen 2 vs Athletics 2-1 L
Kvě 31 @ Cardinals 1-5 L
Kvě 30 @ Cardinals 6-1 W
Kvě 29 @ Cardinals 5-6 L
Kvě 28 @ Pirates 7-2 W

Pirates Nedavne

Čen 2 @ Astros 10-6 W
Kvě 31 vs Twins 3-9 W
Kvě 30 vs Twins 9-10 W
Kvě 29 vs Twins 5-6 W
Kvě 28 vs Cubs 7-2 L

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