Zpet na zapasy Nedele, Čec 26, 2026

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers — Čec 26, 2026 | AI předpověď a statistiky

Globe Life Field, Arlington
74°F, Roof Closed
0 mph, None
W Gabe Speier L Cole Winn SV Andrés Muñoz

Vysledkova tabule

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
Mariners 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 1 6 14 0
Rangers 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 6 0

AI PREDIKCEPrognoza neuronove site

AI
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R
Mariners 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 3
Rangers 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 5
Confidence: 62% Rangers favored
This series finale pits two of the better starters in the American League against each other in a pivotal rubber match at Globe Life Field. Jacob deGrom takes the mound for Texas riding a 3.76 ERA and an imposing 10.94 K/9 rate. His four-seam fastball is sitting 97+ mph and his slider generates elite spin, making him one of the toughest outs in the AL when on. Logan Gilbert counters for Seattle with an even sharper 3.38 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP — his command profile may actually be superior on the season, though his velocity has dipped slightly in recent outings. The Rangers carry serious momentum into this contest, having outscored Seattle 12-5 in the first two games. The loss of Josh Jung (.294 AVG) to a right calf strain is a meaningful blow to Texas's most productive infield bat, with Josh Smith (.230) slotting in as a clear downgrade. Still, Jake Burger (18 HR, 64 RBI) and Brandon Nimmo provide legitimate middle-of-the-order punch. Seattle's offense has been anemic on the road — a dreadful 21-31 away record tells the story — and the L4 skid reflects a lineup that has mustered just 10 runs over that span. Globe Life Field's controlled dome environment neutralizes the 98-degree heat outside, but day games here still tend to produce slightly livelier conditions than night contests. The bullpen edge leans Texas given Seattle's recent workload and their firing of the assistant hitting coach signaling broader organizational turbulence. deGrom's ability to punch out the top of Seattle's order — Arozarena and Cole Young — will be the decisive factor in whether Texas completes the sweep.

Scoring Dynamics

Early (1-3) 2R Elite arms suppress early scoring
Middle (4-6) 4R Rangers offense finds gaps vs. Gilbert
Late (7-9) 2R Bullpen holds, Rangers close it out

Matchup Analysis

Rangers

deGrom elite K-rate at home
Jake Burger power threat
W2 series momentum
Jung IL leaves lineup hole
Heavy IL list overall

Mariners

Gilbert sharp ERA and WHIP
Arozarena consistent bat
Positive run differential
21-31 road record is brutal
L4 skid draining confidence

Risk Factors

Jung IL disrupts Texas lineup
deGrom pitch count watch

Key Matchups

Arozarena vs deGrom pitcher deGrom's high-spin slider neutralizes Arozarena's bat
Burger vs Gilbert batter Burger's 18 HR power vs. Gilbert's 96 mph FB in heat
Nimmo vs Gilbert pitcher Gilbert's splitter troubles lefty-heavy contact hitters

Statistical Edges

First to Score Rangers 55%
Strikeouts 18 14-22
Total Runs 8 5-11

Game Preview

From the first pitch, expect this game to feel like a chess match. deGrom opens by establishing his riding fastball up in the zone, generating swings and misses from Victor Robles and Cole Young early. Gilbert matches him inning for inning through the first two frames, his splitter diving out of the zone to stifle Burger and Nimmo in the heart of Texas's order. The Rangers crack the code in the second inning when Ezequiel Duran works a two-out base hit and scores on a Kyle Higashioka single — a quiet 1-0 lead. Seattle responds in the third when Randy Arozarena, the Mariners' most dangerous bat, lines an RBI single off deGrom to knot it at one. The game stays tight through four innings, but Texas seizes control in the fifth. Burger launches a two-run shot to left-center off Gilbert, his 19th of the season, and suddenly Globe Life erupts. The homer proves to be the decisive blow as deGrom settles back in, overpowering the bottom of Seattle's lineup with his slider through six. Seattle scratches across a run in the sixth and another in the eighth to keep it competitive, but Texas's bullpen slams the door. Josh Smith, filling in admirably for the injured Jung, adds an insurance RBI single in the seventh to make it 5-3. The Rangers complete the three-game sweep and push their record to 56-51, staying in the AL West hunt.
Two elite starters narrow variance significantly. Texas's series momentum, superior home record, and Seattle's devastating road struggles tip the scale. Jung's IL absence is the main wildcard keeping confidence from climbing higher.
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Seattle Mariners — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Cole Young
2B .2551348.312.404
Julio Rodríguez
CF .2541544.316.417
Dominic Canzone
DH .2601646.332.512
Randy Arozarena
LF .2841246.379.448
Josh Naylor
1B .258837.322.354
Cal Raleigh
C .1651035.269.300
Victor Robles
RF .24805.291.275
J.P. Crawford
3B .2171029.337.353
Colt Emerson
SS .201721.266.368

Texas Rangers — Soupiska

HráčPoz.AVGHRRBIOBPSLG
Joc Pederson
DH .2511736.341.491
Wyatt Langford
LF .2901229.333.528
Ezequiel Duran
3B .2711155.322.447
Brandon Nimmo
RF .2681039.335.429
Jake Burger
1B .2381864.300.424
Evan Carter
CF .193827.311.342
Nicky Lopez
SS .313117.344.354
Alejandro Osuna
PH .261123.351.306
Elias Díaz
C .252416.263.423

Skórovací akce

1
Ezequiel Duran out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Joc Pederson scores.
0-1
3
Julio Rodríguez singles on a fly ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Cole Young scores.
1-1
4
Evan Carter singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Brandon Nimmo scores. Jake Burger to 3rd.
1-2
4
Nicky Lopez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Cole Young. Jake Burger scores. Evan Carter to 2nd.
1-3
7
Dominic Canzone homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Colt Emerson scores. Cole Young scores.
4-3
7
Randy Arozarena homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field.
5-3
8
Ezequiel Duran homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.
5-4
9
Dominic Canzone doubles (15) on a line drive to right fielder Brandon Nimmo. Julio Rodríguez scores.
6-4

Seattle Mariners — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Cole Young2B
5220000.255.716
Julio RodríguezCF
4111000.254.733
Dominic CanzoneDH
5134001.260.844
Randy ArozarenaLF
5131001.284.827
Josh Naylor1B
5020010.258.676
Cal RaleighC
3010020.165.569
Victor RoblesRF
1010000.248.566
J.P. Crawford3B
4000010.217.690
Colt EmersonSS
4110000.201.634
Celkem396146072
BATTING
2B: Canzone (15, Gray).
3B: Young (2, deGrom).
HR: Canzone (16, 7th inning off Winn, C, 2 on, 2 out); Arozarena (12, 7th inning off Winn, C, 0 on, 2 out).
TB: Arozarena 6; Canzone 7; Emerson; Naylor, J 2; Raleigh; Robles; Rodríguez, J; Young 4.
RBI: Arozarena (46); Canzone 4 (46); Rodríguez, J (44).
2-out RBI: Rodríguez, J; Canzone 3; Arozarena.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Crawford, J; Emerson; Wilson, W.
GIDP: Crawford, J; Naylor, J.
Team RISP: 3-for-12.
Team LOB: 8.
a-Struck out for Raley, L in the 6th.

Texas Rangers — Pálkování

HráčABRHRBIBBKHRAVGOPS
Joc PedersonDH
4110000.251.832
Wyatt LangfordLF
4010000.290.861
Ezequiel Duran3B
3112001.271.769
Brandon NimmoRF
4110010.268.764
Jake Burger1B
3100130.238.724
Evan CarterCF
3011120.193.653
Nicky LopezSS
4011020.313.698
Alejandro OsunaPH
1000010.261.657
Elias DíazC
3000020.252.686
Celkem324642121
BATTING
2B: Pederson (11, Gilbert, L).
HR: Duran, E (11, 8th inning off Bazardo, 0 on, 1 out).
TB: Carter; Duran, E 4; Langford; Lopez, N; Nimmo; Pederson 2.
RBI: Carter (27); Duran, E 2 (55); Lopez, N (17).
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out: Díaz, E; Burger; Lopez, N.
SF: Duran, E.
Team RISP: 3-for-7.
Team LOB: 4.
BASERUNNING
SB: Carter (12, 2nd base off Speier/Raleigh).
FIELDING
DP: 2 (Lopez, N-Burger; Foscue-Lopez, N-Burger).
a-Struck out for Smith in the 7th.
b-Struck out for Foscue in the 9th.

Seattle Mariners — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Logan Gilbert
5.253324093-603.44
Gabe Speier(W, 2-2)
1.100003021-141.95
Eduard Bazardo(H, 20)
1.011102116-142.93
Andrés Muñoz(S, 18)
1.000003014-93.86

Texas Rangers — Nadhazování

NadhazovačIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERA
Jacob deGrom
5.071104090-663.67
Robby Ahlstrom(H, 5)
1.00000209-75.12
Tyler Alexander(H, 10)
0.122200016-93.20
Cole Winn(L, 5-3)(BS, 2)
0.222201212-96.11
Ben Peoples
1.01000009-52.16
Peyton Gray
1.021100023-153.49

Informace o zápase

Rozhodčí: Home Plate: Nick Mahrley; First Base: Derek Thomas; Second Base: Marvin Hudson; Third Base: Tripp Gibson
Stadion: Globe Life Field, Arlington
Počasí: 74°F, Roof Closed
Vítr: 0 mph, None

Seattle Mariners — Zpravy

Texas Rangers — Zpravy

Porovnani sezon

Mariners
STAT
Rangers
51-54 Bilance 53-51
48.6% Win % 51.0%
.486 PCT .510
420 Ziskane body 439
410 Inkasovane body 462
105 Odehrane zapasy 104
L4 Série W2
4-6 Posledních 10 5-5
30-23 Bilance doma 27-24
21-31 Bilance venku 26-27

Vzajemne zapasy

2
Poslednich 5 setkani
3
Čec 25
Mariners 1 - 7 Rangers
Čec 24
Mariners 4 - 5 Rangers
Dub 19
Rangers 2 - 5 Mariners
Dub 18
Rangers 3 - 7 Mariners
Dub 17
Rangers 5 - 0 Mariners

Mariners Nedavne

Čec 25 @ Rangers 1-7 L
Čec 24 @ Rangers 4-5 L
Čec 22 vs Reds 5-3 L
Čec 21 vs Reds 4-2 L
Čec 20 vs Reds 0-8 W

Rangers Nedavne

Čec 25 vs Mariners 1-7 W
Čec 24 vs Mariners 4-5 W
Čec 22 vs White Sox 4-2 L
Čec 21 vs White Sox 0-10 W
Čec 20 vs White Sox 10-3 L

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