Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox — Mar 15, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats

Brayan Bello gets the nod for Boston and immediately asserts command with the two-seamer, limiting Minnesota to scattered singles over the first two frames. Rafael Devers sets the tone in the bottom of the first, jumping a first-pitch fastball from Joe Ryan and depositing it off the right-field wall for an RBI double. The decisive swing comes in the third: with two on and one out, Triston Casas hammers Ryan’s elevated splitter into the bullpen for a two-run double, giving Boston a 3-0 cushion. The Twins briefly answer on Royce Lewis’s opposite-field homer in the top of the third, but Bello strands a pair to keep the damage at one. Boston’s lineup grinds Ryan’s pitch count, and Masataka Yoshida plates an insurance run in the fifth with a line-drive single through the shift. Ryan exits after five, trailing 4-1. Minnesota chips away in the sixth when Byron Buxton legs out an infield hit and scores on Carlos Correa’s gapper off reliever Chris Martin, trimming it to 4-2. The Red Sox bullpen steadies: Brennan Bernardino induces a double-play ball from Max Kepler to end the frame. In the seventh, Boston capitalizes on a fatigued Twins relief corps—Wily Peralta walks two and Devers ropes a sharp single to push the lead to 5-2. The Twins scratch one back in the seventh on a Trevor Larnach sacrifice fly, but that’s their last breath. Jarren Duran’s hustle triple in the eighth sets up Reese McGuire’s bloop RBI, stretching it to 6-3. Kenley Jansen slams the door in the ninth, featuring back-to-back cutters at 94 mph that freeze Correa and Buxton. Boston’s deeper lineup, superior bullpen leverage, and home-field familiarity prove decisive, while Minnesota’s inconsistent middle relief again undermines a solid but imperfect Joe Ryan outing. Expect the Red Sox to keep pace in the AL playoff race with a confident 6-3 victory.