Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds — Mar 30, 2026 | AI Prediction & Stats
Pittsburgh Pirates
3-3
Finalizado
0
:
2
Cincinnati Reds
3-3
Pitchers Probables
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft
Lanza: R
2.71ERA
4-4W-L
71SO
1.25WHIP
69.2IP
VS
Reds
Chase Burns
Lanza: R
4.57ERA
0-3W-L
67SO
1.32WHIP
43.1IP
Marcador
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Pirates
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
|
Reds
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | 4 | 0 |
PREDICCION AIPronostico de Red Neuronal
AI| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Pirates
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|
Reds
|
0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Chase Burns’ swing-and-miss stuff should rack up strikeouts, but his elevated walk rate and history of mid-game fatigue leave the door open for the Pirates to scratch out early runs. Expect Brandon Lowe to ambush a fastball for a fourth-inning homer and Nick Gonzales to capitalize on traffic created by Bryan Reynolds in the middle frames.
Braxton Ashcraft’s pristine 2025 numbers won’t be quite as shiny in a homer-happy Great American Ball Park. His cutter tends to leak arm-side to right-handers; look for Elly De La Cruz to turn one around in the third and for red-hot rookie Sal Stewart (1.917 OPS through the first series) to gap a two-run double in the fifth.
The game tilts on the bullpens. Cincinnati’s late-inning trio of Sam Moll (reverse splits), Tony Santillan (power sinker) and Emilio Pagán is steadier than a Pittsburgh relief corps that has already burned through Isaac Mattson and Mason Montgomery. Once Ashcraft exits after five, the Reds will force mismatches: Matt McLain’s patience draws a walk, setting up Stewart’s eighth-inning game-tying double off a wild Justin Lawrence slider. In the ninth, a weary Pirates pen faces Eugenio Suárez, who lifts a sac-fly to deep center for the walk-off.
Tactical edge: the Reds’ bench carries two switch-hitters and multiple plus runners, allowing manager David Bell to press the matchup buttons late. Coupled with a slight defensive advantage on the infield and an energized home crowd, Cincinnati squeezes out a 5-4 victory.
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Comparacion de Temporada
Pirates
STAT
Reds
3-3
Registro
3-3
50.0%
Win %
50.0%
.500
PCT
.500
29
Carreras a Favor
17
26
Carreras en Contra
26
6
Juegos Jugados
6
WWLWL
Forma
LLWWW
Enfrentamiento Directo
4
1
Abr 1
Pirates
8 - 3
Reds
Mar 31
Pirates
8 - 3
Reds
Sep 25
Pirates
1 - 2
Reds
Sep 24
Pirates
4 - 3
Reds
Sep 23
Pirates
4 - 2
Reds
Pirates Recientes
Abr 1
@ Reds
8-3
W
Mar 31
@ Reds
8-3
W
Mar 29
@ Mets
4-3
W
Mar 28
@ Mets
2-4
L
Mar 26
@ Mets
7-11
L
Reds Recientes
Abr 1
vs Pirates
8-3
L
Mar 31
vs Pirates
8-3
L
Mar 29
vs Red Sox
2-3
W
Mar 28
vs Red Sox
5-6
W
Mar 26
vs Red Sox
3-0
L
Alineaciones
ROSTER VISITANTE
Ryan O'Hearn
AVG-
HR2
RBI6
OBP-
H8
AB19
Spencer Horwitz
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB15
Brandon Lowe
AVG-
HR3
RBI4
OBP-
H6
AB18
Nick Gonzales
AVG-
HR0
RBI5
OBP-
H9
AB27
Nick Yorke
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB10
Henry Davis
AVG-
HR0
RBI2
OBP-
H2
AB14
Joey Bart
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB5
Oneil Cruz
AVG-
HR3
RBI6
OBP-
H7
AB23
Marcell Ozuna
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB20
Jake Mangum
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H3
AB18
Braxton Ashcraft
ERA3.00
W-L0-1
SO3
Bubba Chandler
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO6
Carmen Mlodzinski
ERA4.15
W-L0-0
SO8
Dennis Santana
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO2
Gregory Soto
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO8
Hunter Barco
ERA12.00
W-L0-1
SO3
Isaac Mattson
ERA4.50
W-L0-0
SO4
José Urquidy
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO0
Justin Lawrence
ERA4.91
W-L0-0
SO6
Mason Montgomery
ERA12.00
W-L0-0
SO6
Mitch Keller
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO3
Paul Skenes
ERA9.53
W-L1-1
SO6
Yohan Ramírez
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO7
Bryan Reynolds
AVG-
HR2
RBI4
OBP-
H6
AB27
Jared Triolo
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H3
AB20
ROSTER LOCAL
Nathaniel Lowe
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H1
AB4
Spencer Steer
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H1
AB17
Matt McLain
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H4
AB21
Eugenio Suárez
AVG-
HR2
RBI6
OBP-
H5
AB23
Ke'Bryan Hayes
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB15
Sal Stewart
AVG-
HR2
RBI3
OBP-
H9
AB19
Jose Trevino
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB7
Tyler Stephenson
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H1
AB13
Dane Myers
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H4
AB9
TJ Friedl
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H2
AB22
Will Benson
AVG-
HR0
RBI1
OBP-
H2
AB11
Noelvi Marte
AVG-
HR0
RBI0
OBP-
H0
AB8
Andrew Abbott
ERA3.09
W-L0-1
SO9
Brady Singer
ERA6.75
W-L0-0
SO5
Brandon Williamson
ERA11.57
W-L0-1
SO3
Brock Burke
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO2
Chase Burns
ERA0.00
W-L1-0
SO7
Connor Phillips
ERA4.50
W-L1-0
SO5
Emilio Pagán
ERA13.50
W-L0-0
SO4
Graham Ashcraft
ERA2.25
W-L0-0
SO8
Pierce Johnson
ERA10.12
W-L0-1
SO1
Rhett Lowder
ERA3.60
W-L0-0
SO5
Sam Moll
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO2
Tony Santillan
ERA0.00
W-L0-0
SO6
Elly De La Cruz
AVG-
HR2
RBI2
OBP-
H5
AB24
